首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
外语
Occam’s Razor Developed by English academic William of Occam in the 1300s, Occam’s Razor is a theory used to explain unknown
Occam’s Razor Developed by English academic William of Occam in the 1300s, Occam’s Razor is a theory used to explain unknown
admin
2012-01-14
48
问题
Occam’s Razor
Developed by English academic William of Occam in the 1300s, Occam’s Razor is a theory used to explain unknown or unexpected phenomena. Its guiding principle is that when something strange or new occurs, the simplest and most plausible explanation is the best one.The theory holds that a highly logical approach based on established facts and experiences is superior to one based on theories and assumptions. Therefore, people should take into account all the known facts surrounding the event, and construct an explanation that uses as few assumptions and improbabilities as possible.
M: Okay, so when something unusual happens, people often have a
hard time explaining it. But it’s normally the simplest explanation
that’s best, right? Like, this morning I walked past a tree and I
noticed that the top part of it was burned. I thought this was a bit
strange. It’s not often you see a burned tree top. So, I started to
wonder how it got that way.
My first thought was that maybe someone burned it on purpose. I
figured they might have climbed the tree and set fire to it. But what
evidence did I have to support that theory? Why would someone
want to do that in the first place? And besides, it doesn’t explain how
the arsonist-the person who started the fire-got down from the
tree, either. So there are a lot of assumptions and inconsistencies
in that theory, right?
The second thing that occurred to me was that the tree might have
been hit by lightning. This would explain why only the top of the
tree got burned. And also, I remembered that there had been a
storm early this morning. The sound of thunder had actually woken
me up. So this theory made more sense, and it was based on the
facts. So, it’s a much more compelling explanation.
选项
答案
[Topic] The professor gives a talk to demonstrate Occam’s Razor--the idea that the simplest and most reasonable explanation for unexpected phenomena is usually the best. He uses an example from his own experience to explain the point. [Example] The professor says he walked past a tree and noticed it was burned on top, and thought that it seemed strange. The first theory he had to explain it was that someone had deliberately started a fire. But, this theory relies on too many assumptions and improbable things. Like, the person would have no reason to start the fire, and then they would have trouble getting down afterwards, too. However, his second theory, that the tree was struck by lightning, is much simpler. It’s more logical and fact-based. It explains why the fire only affected the top of the tree. Plus, there was actually a storm that morning.
解析
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/9WyO777K
0
托福(TOEFL)
相关试题推荐
Completethesummarybelow.ChooseNOMORETHANTWOWORDSfromthepassageforeachanswer.Writeyouranswersinboxes19-23o
DothefollowingstatementsagreewiththeinformationgiveninReadingPassage1?Inboxes7-13onyouranswersheet,writeT
Youshouldspendabout20minutesonQuestions1-13,whicharebasedonReadingPassage1below.Seedvault
Lookatthefollowingnamesofpeopleororganisations(Questions33-36)andthelistofopinionsbelow.Matcheachnamewithth
Youshouldspendabout20minutesonQuestions27-40whicharebasedonReadingPassage3below.Helium’sFutureUpintheAirA
Bestcom—ConsiderateComputing’Yourbatteryisnowfullycharged,’announcedthelaptoptoitsownerDonaldA.Normaninas
【31】Trucksleavethematerialsonthe______.
Notetakingimprovesyourabilityto______onwhatthespeakersays.Notetakingallowsyoutogeta______ofthematerialbe
Thereisa______at13WardrockPlace.______mightofferdiscountedaccommodationduringlowseasons.
Completethechartbelow.Matchtheadvantagesofjoiningalearningcircle(I-VI)totheperson.NOTE:therearemorea
随机试题
Anthropology(人类学)isthestudyofhowpeoplelive.Itincludestheirfamilylife,religion,art,lawsandlanguage.Theterm"an
男性,29岁,农民,因畏寒、发热、头痛、耳鸣5天,伴腰痛、皮疹,恶心、呕吐2天入院。体检:体温39.6℃,颜面潮红,球结膜充血,胸背部可见散在性暗红色斑丘疹,肝肋下未及,脾肋下1cm。血像:WBC8.0×109/L,中性粒细胞0.84,尿蛋白(+)、红细
天台乌药散与暖肝煎两方组成中均含有的药物是()
临床出现自汗多尿,是气的哪一种功能减退的表现()
当瓦屋面坡度近于50%时,其檐口构造不应设置:[2012—067]
有限责任公司成立后,发现作为出资的工业产权实际价额显著低于公司章程所定价额时,应当由交付出资的股东补交其差额,其他股东对其承担连带责任。()
数据库在计算机系统中不是以文件的方式存储的。()
2005年5月份全国基本型乘用车的产量是:2006年5月份全国乘用车销量最大的车型是:
WritetheappropriatelettersA-CagainstQuestions17-20.WhatarethelocationsofthefollowingplacesinRadford?(A)par
Mostofpeopledevelopbadreadinghabitsduringtheirchildhood,andneverget_____them.
最新回复
(
0
)