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  3. The unprecedented U. S. economic boom of the last half of the 1990s was propelled by investment in digital technology. Investors

The unprecedented U. S. economic boom of the last half of the 1990s was propelled by investment in digital technology. Investors

admin2011-06-29  95
问题     The unprecedented U. S. economic boom of the last half of the 1990s was propelled by investment in digital technology. Investors sank billions of dollars into dot-com startups. Billions more were invested to solve the Y2K problem. Conversion to the euro required still more billions. together, these star-aligned events delivered an enormous economic stimulus.【1】Between 1998 and 2000 ,capital spending’s share of the economy was 23 percent higher than at the start of the’90s--and 18 percent higher than today. The weakened economy of the past three years represents the inevitable payback for that abnormal bulge.
    【2】The good news is that the present economic softness has been cushioned by new technology.
    Sophisticated information systems have allowed companies to manage inventories more efficiently. today, aggregate nonfarm inventories in the United States, when measured against final sales, are 30 percent lower than the average for the past 40 years. So routine pullbacks in consumer spending should no longer be followed by severe inventory corrections, which worsen recessions. In fact, the brief, eight-month recession
from March to November 2001 is the shortest of the nine recessions since World War Ⅱ.
    【3】The bad news is that companies are using new technology to displace higher-cost human effort. Indeed, annual productivity is increasing by 2 percent, the economy is growing at 3 percent and the stock market is recovering, but unemployment is at 6 percent Granted. that’s below the average rate of 7 percent from 1979 to 1994, but it’s above the 5 percent average of the past nine years.【4】As consumers, we appreciate the lower-cost, higher-quality goods coming from both U. S. and overseas sources. As shareholders, we applaud better corporate returns. But as wage earners, we are distressed at job insecurity and losses.
    【5】Given the unrelenting pressure on businesses to reduce costs to remain competitive, given the power of new technologies to displace workers, and given the lure of lower-labor-cost nations for offshore production and services, how can unemployment be minimized while the overall economy grows?
    The only long-run solution is innovation. Innovative products and services are essential to generate new businesses and jobs so the economy can grow at the pace needed to absorb available labor: 4 to 5 percent. New work will require retraining because new businesses are likely to be heavily dependent on knowledge workers; there will be a premium on education. Whatever might be the new technologies that will stimulate economic expansion, they will depend on an educated work force. America must have the social and political will to address the educational demands of this high-technology-driven era.
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答案 (1)1998～2000年之间，资本投入产生的经济增长比90年代初和现在分别高出23和18个百分点。近三年来呈现的经济疲软正是这场异常的大规模资本投放的必然结果。 (2)好消息是新技术的出现使当前疲软的经济有了起色。 (3)坏消息是公司正逐渐采用新技术以取代更为昂贵的劳动力。 (4)我们作为消费者所追求的是更为质优价廉的商品，无论它们产于美国还是来自进口；作为股东，我们期待更为丰厚的企业回报；而作为工薪阶层，我们为工作无保障和失业而感到忧心忡忡。 (5)各行业不断降低成本以提高竞争力、新技术导致工人失业、国内投资者趋于向劳动力廉价的国家投资商品生产和提供技术支持，面对这样的情况，我们如何才能既保持经济总体增长又将失业率降至最低?
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