2. 外语
  3. 经济增长放缓的主要原因是疲弱的出口和不断走软的投资(softening investment)，特别是房地产投资(property)。今年前三个季度，净出口(net export)的收缩使经济增速损失了近0．5个百分点。不过，随着今年上半年中国总体贸易顺差

经济增长放缓的主要原因是疲弱的出口和不断走软的投资(softening investment)，特别是房地产投资(property)。今年前三个季度，净出口(net export)的收缩使经济增速损失了近0．5个百分点。不过，随着今年上半年中国总体贸易顺差

admin2013-08-18  65
问题     经济增长放缓的主要原因是疲弱的出口和不断走软的投资(softening investment)，特别是房地产投资(property)。今年前三个季度，净出口(net export)的收缩使经济增速损失了近0．5个百分点。不过，随着今年上半年中国总体贸易顺差(broad external surplus)处于10年来的低点，出口对经济增长的拖累不太可能进一步加重很多。相比之下，更值得担忧的是房地产投资，目前房地产投资增速只勉强(barely)为2011年时的一半，但仍比整体经济增速快了一倍。如果未来几个季度房地产投资进一步放缓，国内生产总值(GDP)增速可能下滑到7％以下。
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答案 The main causes of the slowdown are the weak external sector, with the shrinkage of net exports subtracting almost a half a percentage point of economic growth in the first three quarters this year, and softening investment, particularly for property. But with China’s broad external surplus at a 10-year low in the first half of this year, the drag on growth from the external sector is not likely to worsen significantly from here. The bigger worry is property investment, which is growing at barely half the pace of 2011 but still twice as fast as the underlying economy. If property investment moderates further for several additional quarters, GDP growth could slide to under 7%.
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