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In the following text, some sentences have been removed. For Questions 41-45, choose the most suitable one from the list (A、B、C、
In the following text, some sentences have been removed. For Questions 41-45, choose the most suitable one from the list (A、B、C、
admin
2010-02-22
42
问题
In the following text, some sentences have been removed. For Questions 41-45, choose the most suitable one from the list (A、B、C、D、E、F、G……) to fit into each of the numbered blank. There are several extra choices, which do not fit in any of the gaps. (10 points)
Policy-makers and the media, particularly in the United States, frequently assert that climate science is highly uncertain. Some have used this as an argument against adopting strong measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. For example, while discussing a major U.S. Environmental Protection Agency report on the risks of climate change, then EPA administrator Christine Whitman argued, "As the report went through review, there was less consensus on the science and conclusions on climate change". Some corporations whose revenues might he adversely affected by controls on carbon dioxide emissions have also alleged major uncertainties in the science. (41)______.
The scientific consensus is clearly expressed in the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Created in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environmental Programme, IPCC’s purpose is to evaluate the state of climate science as a basis for informed policy action, primarily on the basis of peer-reviewed and published scientific literature.
In its most recent assessment, IPCC states unequivocally that the consensus of scientific opinion is that Earth’s climate is being affected by human activities: "Human activities...are modifying the concentration of atmospheric constituents...that absorb or scatter radiant energy....Most of the ob served warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations".
IPCC is not alone in its conclusions. (42)______. For example, the National Academy of Sciences report, Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions, begins: "Greenhouse gases are accumulating in Earth’s atmosphere as a result of human activities, causing surface air temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures to rise". The report explicitly asks whether the IPCC assessment is a fair summary of professional scientific thinking, and answers yes. (43)______.
Others agree. The American Meteorological Society, the American Geophysical Union, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) all have issued statements in recent years concluding that the evidence for human modification of climate is compelling.
The drafting of such reports and statements involves many opportunities for comment, criticism, and revision, and it is not likely that they would diverge greatly from the opinions of the societies’ members. Nevertheless, they might downplay legitimate dissenting opinions. (44)______.
The 928 papers were divided into six categories: explicit endorsement of the consensus position, evaluation of impacts, mitigation proposals, methods, paleoclimate analysis, and rejection of the consensus position. Of all the papers, 75% fell into the first three categories, either explicitly or implicitly accepting the consensus view; 25% dealt with methods or paleoclimate, taking no position on current anthropogenic climate change. Remarkably, none of the papers disagreed with the consensus position.
(45)______.
This analysis shows that scientists publishing in the peer-reviewed literature agree with IPCC, the National Academy of Sciences, and the public statements of their professional societies. Politicians, economists, journalists, and others may have the impression of confusion, disagreement, or discord among climate scientists, but that impression is incorrect.
A. Many details about climate interactions are not well understood, and there are ample grounds for continued research to provide a better basis for understanding climate dynamics.
B. Such statements suggest that there might be substantive disagreement in the scientific community about the reality of anthropogenic climate change. This is not the case.
C. In recent years, all major scientific bodies in the United States whose members’ expertise bears directly on the matter have issued similar statements.
D. Admittedly, authors evaluating impacts, developing methods, or studying paleoclimatic change might believe that current climate change is natural. However, none of these papers argued that point.
E. That hypothesis was tested by analyzing 928 abstracts, published in referent scientific journals between 1993 and 2003, and listed in the ISI database with the keywords "climate change".
F. If the history of science teaches anything, it is humility, and no one can be faulted for failing to act on what is not known.
G. The IPCC’s conclusion that most of the observed warming of the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations accurately reflects the current thinking of the scientific community on this issue.
选项
答案
B
解析
本题位于第一段段末。开篇就指出人们对气象学的看法:非常不可靠。之后提到了一份关于气候变化风险的报告,并指出:一旦人们对该报告进行评估,人们对有关气候变化的科学和结论就不会那么一致了。然后提到一些公司的态度:由于收入受到控制二氧化碳排放的影响,这些公司声称该学科不可靠。由此可见,本题所在处内容应该与这种观点有关。B中的Such statements正是对前一句some corporations have alleged的总结;substantive disagreement与第三句中的less consensus相呼应;climate change属于词汇复现。而该项末句中的This is not the case.是对前面说的disagreement的否定,这与第二段首句中The scientific consensus is clearly expressed一致,符合上下文语义逻辑关系,故B为答案。
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考研英语一
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