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  3. Leaving the European Union would save every Dutch household 9,800 a year by 2035, claims Capital Economics, a London consultancy

Leaving the European Union would save every Dutch household 9,800 a year by 2035, claims Capital Economics, a London consultancy

admin2018-03-01  26
问题     Leaving the European Union would save every Dutch household 9,800 a year by 2035, claims Capital Economics, a London consultancy, in a report commissioned by Geert Wilders’ far-right PVV party. Mr. Wilders calls this "the best news in years", painting a picture of a country freed from the chokehold of Brussels, mass migration and high taxes, and enjoying more trade, more jobs and a booming economy.
    The report lists the benefits of departure: lower business costs because of less regulation; no more net payments to the EU; a doubling of the share of trade with emerging markets; faster economic recovery. The only cost is the transition from the euro to a new guilder, and this is "modest and manageable". The report concludes that Dutch GDP would be 10-13% higher by 2035.
    This finds a receptive audience among those Dutch who are looking for scapegoats. Unemployment has doubled since 2008 and the economy is flat. A recent poll finds a majority of Dutch voters in favour of leaving the EU if that would lead to more jobs and growth. The PVV is leading in opinion polls before the European elections in May.
    Yet there are problems with the Capital Economics report. The idea that the economy would miraculously recover if freed from the European Central Bank’s policies ignores the structural failings that hold it back. The assumption that having the guilder would allow a much looser monetary policy is, at best, questionable. And it defies political reality to imagine that Netherlands would enjoy virtually cost-free access to the EU’s single market, which takes 75% of Dutch exports. Norway and Switzerland both pay for the privilege and have to comply with most EU laws and regulations; the latest Swiss vote for quotas on EU migration threatens the entire relationship.
    Despite its flaws, the report fires a welcome starting-gun for a debate about what is good and bad about the EU. Some 66% of the Dutch feel their "No" vote in the 2005 referendum on the EU constitution was largely ignored. If regulation costs as much as the report claims, and if the ECB’s monetary policy is too restrictive, both should be changed. Defenders of the EU also need to stress its Jess tangible benefits, such as peace, shared interests and the boost to the fight against cross-border crime.
According to Paragraph 1, if Holland left the EU, ______.
选项 A、it would bring numerous benefits
B、economy would soon be prosperous
C、no taxes would be imposed upon its people
D、every Dutch would consider it as the best news
答案A
解析 题干中的“if Holland left the EU”对应第一段第一句：Leaving the European Union would save Dutch…其中，“Holland”对应“Dutch”。而第一段讨论的话题都是围绕开篇这个假设展开的，故只能根据该段的细节来寻找答案。根据第一段的“save every Dutch household 9，800 a year”，“freed from the chokehold of Brussels，mass migration and high taxes”，“enjoying more trade，more jobs and a booming economy”等信息我们可以知道荷兰离开欧盟会带来许多好处，故选项A为答案。选项B的“economy”，“prosperous”与原文最后一句“booming economy”对应，但是该项的“soon”过于绝对，原文也没有提到。选项C的“no taxes”同样过于绝对，且原文未提及。D项的“every Dutch”过于绝对，“consider it as the best news”对应原文“Mr. Wilders calls this‘the best news in years’”，但文章第一段没有提到每个荷兰人的态度，因此B、C、D三项都错误。
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