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  3. In the two decades between 1910 and 1930, over ten percent of the Black population of the United States left the South, where th

In the two decades between 1910 and 1930, over ten percent of the Black population of the United States left the South, where th

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问题     In the two decades between 1910 and 1930, over ten percent of the Black population of the United States left the South, where the dominance of the Black population had been located, and migrated to northern states, with the largest number moving, it is claimed, between 1916 and 1918. It has been frequently assumed, but not proved, that the majority from rural areas and were motivated by two concurrent factors: the collapse of the cotton industry following the boll weevil(棉子象鼻虫)infestation, which began in 1898, and increased demand in the North for labor following the ceasing of European immigration caused by the outbreak of the First World War in 1914. This assumption has led to the conclusion that the migrants’ subsequent lack of economic mobility in the North is tied to rural background, a background that implies unfamiliarity with urban living and a lack of industrial skills.

    But the question of who actually left the South has never been rigorously investigated. Although numerous investigations document an exodus(大批的离去)from rural southern areas to southern cities prior to the Great Migration, no one has considered whether the same migrants then moved on to northern cities. In 1910 over 600, 000 Black workers, or ten percent of the Black work force, reported themselves to be engaged in "manufacturing and mechanical pursuits", the federal census category roughly encompassing the entire industrial sector. The Great Migration could easily have been made up entirely of this group and their families. It is perhaps surprising to argue that an employed population could be lured to move, but an explanation lies in the labor conditions then prevalent in the South.
    About thirty-five percent of the urban Black population in the South was engaged in skilled trades. Some were from the old artisan class of slavery — blacksmiths, masons(石匠), carpenters — which had a monopoly of certain trades, but they were gradually being pushed out by competition, mechanization, and times. The remaining sixty-five percent, more recently urbanized, worked in newly developed industries — tobacco, lumber, coal and iron manufacture, and railroads. Wages in the South, however, were low, and Black workers were aware, through labor recruiters and the Black press, that they could earn more even as unskilled workers in the North than they could as artisans in the South. After the boll weevil infestation, urban Black workers faced competition from the continuing influx of both Black and White rural workers, who were driven to undercut the wages formerly paid for industrial jobs. Thus, a move north would be seen as advantageous to a group that was already organized and steadily employed, and the easy conclusion tying their subsequent economic problems in the North to their rural background comes into question.
According to the passage, the immigration of Black people in the United States between 1910 and 1930 possibly was partly caused by the decay of the______industry accompanied by the increased labor need in the North.
选项
答案cotton
解析 第一段首句指出1910年至1930年间美国南方黑人移民北方现象显著。第二句指出一个普遍认为但未证实的观点是：棉花产业由于虫害衰败，同时北方劳动力需求增长，题目中的possible对应文中的not proved，decay同义转述文中的collapse，accompanied by对应文中的concurrent，故此处需将因素之一的棉花产业的衰败补充完整，答案为cotton。
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