首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
考研
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, an
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, an
admin
2011-10-20
80
问题
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, and their application requires an elaborate (2)_____ of cause and effect. Others are relatively simple, (3)_____ most developments in the economy to one or two basic factors. Many economists, for example, believe that changes in the supply of money (4)_____ the rate of growth of general business activity. Others (5)_____ a central role to investment in new facilities—housing, industrial plants, highways, and so forth. In the United States, where consumers (6)_____ such a large share of economic activity, some economy believe that consumer decisions to (7)_____ or save provide the principal (8)_____ to the future course of the entire economy. Obviously the theory that a forecaster applies is of (9)_____ importance to the forecasting process; it (10)_____ his line of investigation, the statistics he will regard as most important, and many of the techniques he will apply.
Although economic theory may determine the general (11)_____ of a forecast, judgment also often plays an important role. A forecaster may decide that the circumstances of the moment are (12)_____ and that a forecast produced by the (13)_____ statistical methods should be modified to take account of special current circumstances. This is particularly necessary when some event outside the Usual run of economic activity has an a (14)_____ economic effect. For example, forecasts of 1987 economic activity in the United States were more accurate when the analyst correctly foresaw that the exchange value of the dollar would (15)_____ sharply during the year that consumer spending would slacken, and that (16)_____ rates would rise only moderately. None of these conclusions followed (17)_____ purely economic analysis; they all required judgment as to future decisions (18)_____, an economist may decide to adjust an economic forecast that was made by traditional methods to take account of other unique (19)_____; he may, for example, decide that consumers will (20)_____ their spending patterns because of special circumstances such as rising price of imports or fear of threatened shortages.
选项
A、Obviously
B、Occasionally
C、Consequently
D、Similarly
答案
D
解析
考查上下文的逻辑连接。该题所在句和这一段的第二句是并列的,第二句讲的是通常统计方法下的预测需要modify,而后面说的是传统方法的预测需要adjust, modify与adjust本身就是近义词,因此说前后两句相似性对照,故选Similarly。
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/bWp4777K
0
考研英语一
相关试题推荐
Theoriginofcontinentalnucleihaslongbeenapuzzle.Theoriesadvancedsofarhavegenerallyfailedtoexplainthefirstste
(46)Free-marketeconomyisaneconomicsysteminwhichindividuals,ratherthangovernment,makethemajorityofdecisionsregar
(46)Free-marketeconomyisaneconomicsysteminwhichindividuals,ratherthangovernment,makethemajorityofdecisionsregar
(46)Free-marketeconomyisaneconomicsysteminwhichindividuals,ratherthangovernment,makethemajorityofdecisionsregar
(46)Free-marketeconomyisaneconomicsysteminwhichindividuals,ratherthangovernment,makethemajorityofdecisionsregar
Theauthorconsidersanewtheorythatcoherentlyrelatesdiversephenomenatooneanothertobethe______Whichofthefollowi
Theauthorconsidersanewtheorythatcoherentlyrelatesdiversephenomenatooneanothertobethe______Theauthorimpliest
Thepublicchargedtheminister______lyingabouttheeconomy,whichisnowinarecession.
Highoilpriceshavenotyetproducedaneconomicshockamongconsumingcountries,butfurtherrises,especiallysharp(1)_____,
随机试题
英文缩写ROM的中文译名是
周某于1999年至2001年间,先后盗得款物2万多元。在“严打”期间,周某一直潜逃在外。后来,周某被其父亲找回。在其父母的劝说下前往公安机关自首,途中恰遇两名熟悉本案的公安人员,当即上前将周某抓获。周某在被审判时,提供了重要线索,让司法机关侦破了张某的抢劫
按照有关规定,某炼钢厂的()必须进行安全生产培训,经培训单位考核合格并取得安全培训合格证后方可任职上岗。
保证收益理财产品(计划)的销售起点金额,应在5万元人民币以上。()
简述心理辅导的原则。
Mysistersaidshewouldtrytospeak______Englisheveryday.
讯问的时候,侦查人员不得少于二人,侦查人员人手不足时,可以由一名侦查人员先行讯问。()
下列情形中,构成徇私枉法罪的是()
邓小平在南方谈话中阐述了一系列重要思想,其中有关于
现代社会无论价值观的持有还是生活方式的选择都充满了矛盾。而最让现代人感到尴尬的是,面对重重矛盾,许多时候你却别无选择。匆忙与休闲是截然不同的两种生活方式。但在现实生活中,人们却在这两种生活方式间频繁穿梭,有时也说不清自己到底是“休闲着”还是“匆忙着”。譬如
最新回复
(
0
)