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  3. The success story of top investors and executives is a staple of business books and magazines.【C1】______research suggests we sho

The success story of top investors and executives is a staple of business books and magazines.【C1】______research suggests we sho

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问题     The success story of top investors and executives is a staple of business books and magazines.【C1】______research suggests we should be cautious in【C2】______ourselves on extraordinary performers or【C3】______their much-praised methods; these saints may offer less wisdom than they【C4】______. Greater value can be found, studies show, in less dazzling but more【C5】______theories, and in the practices of those who are second best in the field.
    An article published in the Proceedings of the National Academies of Science【C6】______on experiments that modeled the results of a game played in many rounds. Over time, the most skilled players came to【C7】______a second tier of reliable competence. Those who succeeded spectacularly — who took their places in the first tier — were often not the most skilled,【C8】______were those who got some lucky【C9】______early on or took big risks that happened to【C10】______. Imitating these top performers would probably lead to【C11】______, since imitators would be unlikely to【C12】______their good fortune.【C13】______luck and risk play a dominant role in extraordinary outcomes, extreme success or failure are, at best, only weak【C14】______of skill, and top performers should not be imitated or praised. It’s better to learn from individuals with high, but not【C15】______, performance — those whose success can be【C16】______to solid skill and not to a rare lightning strike.
    By analyzing the characteristics of theories currently【C17】______, we may even be able to tell in advance which ones will turn out to be【C18】______useful additions, and which ones are here-today-gone-tomorrow trends.【C19】______with critical thinking skills and a healthy dose of skepticism, we can learn to【C20】______leaders and theories with the shiny look of success from those that offer the real thing.
【C4】
选项 A、permit
B、promise
C、predict
D、demand
答案B
解析 本题考查上下文语义。空格所在的分句总结上文指出：这些模范人物可能比他们……提供要少的智慧；下文则进一步说明，更大的价值来自于那些表现第二好的人；即，这些表现最优者的成功故事并不如他们所说的那样包含许多的智慧，promise符合文意。而这些模范人物并没有刻意“许可、预言、要求”他们要给出多少智慧，排除其他项。
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考研英语一

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