首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
考研
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, an
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, an
admin
2011-10-20
65
问题
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, and their application requires an elaborate (2)_____ of cause and effect. Others are relatively simple, (3)_____ most developments in the economy to one or two basic factors. Many economists, for example, believe that changes in the supply of money (4)_____ the rate of growth of general business activity. Others (5)_____ a central role to investment in new facilities—housing, industrial plants, highways, and so forth. In the United States, where consumers (6)_____ such a large share of economic activity, some economy believe that consumer decisions to (7)_____ or save provide the principal (8)_____ to the future course of the entire economy. Obviously the theory that a forecaster applies is of (9)_____ importance to the forecasting process; it (10)_____ his line of investigation, the statistics he will regard as most important, and many of the techniques he will apply.
Although economic theory may determine the general (11)_____ of a forecast, judgment also often plays an important role. A forecaster may decide that the circumstances of the moment are (12)_____ and that a forecast produced by the (13)_____ statistical methods should be modified to take account of special current circumstances. This is particularly necessary when some event outside the Usual run of economic activity has an a (14)_____ economic effect. For example, forecasts of 1987 economic activity in the United States were more accurate when the analyst correctly foresaw that the exchange value of the dollar would (15)_____ sharply during the year that consumer spending would slacken, and that (16)_____ rates would rise only moderately. None of these conclusions followed (17)_____ purely economic analysis; they all required judgment as to future decisions (18)_____, an economist may decide to adjust an economic forecast that was made by traditional methods to take account of other unique (19)_____; he may, for example, decide that consumers will (20)_____ their spending patterns because of special circumstances such as rising price of imports or fear of threatened shortages.
选项
A、expand
B、decline
C、increase
D、deviate
答案
B
解析
考查上下文语义衔接。由后面的提示,consumer spending would slacken"消费者支出减少",可以推断原因是美元交换价值下降,排除了expand和increase,另外,deviate是"背离,偏离",常和from连用,表示偏离某一标准,所以正确的只有decline。
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/6Wp4777K
0
考研英语一
相关试题推荐
(46)Free-marketeconomyisaneconomicsysteminwhichindividuals,ratherthangovernment,makethemajorityofdecisionsregar
(46)Free-marketeconomyisaneconomicsysteminwhichindividuals,ratherthangovernment,makethemajorityofdecisionsregar
Theauthorconsidersanewtheorythatcoherentlyrelatesdiversephenomenatooneanothertobethe______Whichofthefollowi
Theauthorconsidersanewtheorythatcoherentlyrelatesdiversephenomenatooneanothertobethe______Theauthorregardst
WhatdoestheexampleoftheEnglishschoolboyinparagraph1indicate?______Whichofthefollowingcanbeanappropriatehead
______theclaimaboutGermaneconomicmight,itissomewhatsurprisinghowrelativelysmalltheGermaneconomyactuallyis.
You’veseenanadvertisementinthe"CampusNews"offeringascholarshipinEnglishliteraturebyaprivatefoundation.Writet
Highoilpriceshavenotyetproducedaneconomicshockamongconsumingcountries,butfurtherrises,especiallysharp(1)_____,
Highoilpriceshavenotyetproducedaneconomicshockamongconsumingcountries,butfurtherrises,especiallysharp(1)_____,
随机试题
_______是治疗糖尿病的最基本措施。
某大型化工企业建于2005年,其生产废水通过排污管道排向附近的某水库。5年来该企业排放的污水一直符合国家规定的污染物排放标准,也未造成过水污染事故。2010年夏季的某一天,承包水库养鱼的渔民发现大量死鱼漂浮在水面,造成直接经济损失100多万元。经对死鱼解剖
诉讼时效期间由()
在PDCA循环中,按照拟定的质量计划、目标、措施及分工要求付诸行动的阶段称为
维持战略的思想基础是:最好的方位是恰当的进攻。()
(2014年)根据《宪法》规定,关于我国基本经济制度的说法,下列选项正确的是:()
下列款项中,不能办理托收承付结算的是()。
关于心理咨询的三个阶段的主要工作内容,下列说法中不正确的是()。
受学校委托,按照学校的教育要求和班级教育目标,全面负责和主持一个教学班各项具体工作的是()
下列事项中应当制发通知的有()。
最新回复
(
0
)