首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
外语
Read the following passage carefully and then write a summary of it in English in about 150 words. A simple idea underpins s
Read the following passage carefully and then write a summary of it in English in about 150 words. A simple idea underpins s
admin
2015-09-25
31
问题
Read the following passage carefully and then write a summary of it in English in about 150 words.
A simple idea underpins science; "trust, but verify". Results should always be subject to challenge from experiment. That simple but powerful idea has generated a vast body of knowledge. Since its birth in the 17th century, modern science has changed the world beyond recognition, and overwhelmingly for the better.
But success can breed complacency. Modern scientists are doing too much trusting and not enough verifying—to the detriment of the whole of science, and of humanity.
Too many of the findings that fill the academic ether are the result of shoddy experiments or poor analysis(see article). A rule of thumb among biotechnology venture-capitalists is that half of published research cannot be replicated. Even that may be optimistic. Last year researchers at one biotech firm, Amgen, found they could reproduce just six of 53 "landmark" studies in cancer research. Earlier, a group at Bayer, a drug company, managed to repeat just a quarter of 67 similarly important papers. A leading computer scientist frets that three-quarters of papers in his subfield are bunk. In 2000—2010 roughly 80, 000 patients took part in clinical trials based on research that was later retracted because of mistakes or improprieties.
Even when flawed research does not put people’s lives at risk—and much of it is too far from the market to do so—it squanders money and the efforts of some of the world’s best minds. The opportunity costs of stymied progress are hard to quantify, but they are likely to be vast. And they could be rising.
One reason is the competitiveness of science. In the 1950s, when modern academic research took shape after its successes in the Second World War, it was still a rarefied pastime. The entire club of scientists numbered a few hundred thousand. As their ranks have swelled, to 6m—7m active researchers on the latest reckoning, scientists have lost their taste for self-policing and quality control. The obligation to "publish or perish" has come to rule over academic life. Competition for jobs is cutthroat. Full professors in America earned on average $ 135, 000 in 2012—more than judges did. Every year six freshly minted PhDs vie for every academic post. Nowadays verification(the replication of other people’s results)does little to advance a researcher’s career. And without verification, dubious findings live on to mislead.
Careerism also encourages exaggeration and the cherry-picking of results. In order to safeguard their exclusivity, the leading journals impose high rejection rates: in excess of 90% of submitted manuscripts. The most striking findings have the greatest chance of making it onto the page. Little wonder that one in three researchers knows of a colleague who has pepped up a paper by, say, excluding inconvenient data from results "based on a gut feeling". And as more research teams around the world work on a problem, the odds shorten that at least one will fall prey to an honest confusion between the sweet signal of a genuine discovery and a freak of the statistical noise. Such spurious correlations are often recorded in journals eager for startling papers. If they touch on drinking wine, going senile or letting children play video games, they may well command the front pages of newspapers, too.
Conversely, failures to prove a hypothesis are rarely even offered for publication, let alone accepted. "Negative results" now account for only 14% of published papers, down from 30% in 1990. Yet knowing what is false is as important to science as knowing what is true. The failure to report failures means that researchers waste money and effort exploring blind alleys already investigated by other scientists.
The hallowed process of peer review is not all it is cracked up to be, either. When a prominent medical journal ran research past other experts in the field, it found that most of the reviewers failed to spot mistakes it had deliberately inserted into papers, even after being told they were being tested.
All this makes a shaky foundation for an enterprise dedicated to discovering the truth about the world. What might be done to shore it up? One priority should be for all disciplines to follow the example of those that have done most to tighten standards. A start would be getting to grips with statistics, especially in the growing number of fields that sift through untold oodles of data looking for patterns. Geneticists have done this, and turned an early torrent of specious results from genome sequencing into a trickle of truly significant ones.
Ideally, research protocols should be registered in advance and monitored in virtual notebooks. This would curb the temptation to fiddle with the experiment’s design midstream so as to make the results look more substantial than they are.(It is already meant to happen in clinical trials of drugs, but compliance is patchy.)Where possible, trial data also should be open for other researchers to inspect and test.
The most enlightened journals are already becoming less averse to humdrum papers. Some government funding agencies, including America’s National Institutes of Health, which dish out $30 billion on research each year, are working out how best to encourage replication. And growing numbers of scientists, especially young ones, understand statistics. But these trends need to go much further. Journals should allocate space for "uninteresting" work, and grant-givers should set aside money to pay for it. Peer review should be tightened—or perhaps dispensed with altogether, in favour of post-publication evaluation in the form of appended comments. That system has worked well in recent years in physics and mathematics. Lastly, policymakers should ensure that institutions using public money also respect the rules.
Science still commands enormous—if sometimes bemused—respect. But its privileged status is founded on the capacity to be right most of the time and to correct its mistakes when it gets things wrong. And it is not as if the universe is short of genuine mysteries to keep generations of scientists hard at work. The false trails laid down by shoddy research are an unforgivable barrier to understanding.
选项
答案
In this passage, the author points out a serious problem existing in modern science, that is, scientists are doing too much trusting and not enough verifying, which has deteriorated the whole science and humanity. In the latter passage, the author analyzed the reasons with the detailed examples as proofs. The first reason is the competitiveness of science. The greatly increasing population of the scientists imposed fierce competition and forced them to publish their articles regardless of the academic quality. What’s more, high rejection rates of the leading journals encourage negatively researchers to exclude inconvenient data from results based only on sensations to optimize their research and win the opportunity to be published. Later on, the author offers some suggestions to solve the problem. One priority is to make disciplines tighten standards. Journals should spare space for "uninteresting" work and accept those papers concerned with the "negative results". Government funding agencies should set aside money to support and encourage replication. Peer review should be tightened. Lastly, policymakers should ensure that institutions using public money also respect the rules. At last, the author restates and emphasizes the importance for science to be right and its capacity to be corrected. The false researches can only hinder the process of understanding.
解析
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/IOLO777K
0
考博英语
相关试题推荐
Obviously,thepercapitaincomeofacountrydependsonmanythings,andanystatisticaltestthatdoesnottakeaccountofall
Theideaofhumanoidrobotsisnotnew.TheyhavebeenpartoftheimaginativelandscapeeversinceKarlCapek,aCzechwriter,fi
Inthispart,youarerequiredtowriteacompositionentitledWhatShouldWeDotoPreventPiratedProductsinnolessthan200
46.Theonrushofcheapcommunications,powerfulcomputersandtheInternetallexplainwhymanypeoplefeelthat,nowadays,cha
Inapurelybiologicalsense,fearbeginswiththebody’ssystemforreactingtothingsthatcanharmus—theso-calledfight-o
AnintelligentTVviewermayoccasionallybecomeenragedbythe______argumentationincommercials.
Billisanexampleofaseverelydisabledpersonwhohasbecome______atmanysurvivalskills.
Whowouldhavethoughtwewouldbecomeaplanetof"ologies"?There’sbiology,psychology,herpetology,etymology,andgeologyj
Countlessbillionsof______seacreaturesandplantslivedandsanktotheseabed.
中国的饮食方式正在发生许多变化。众所周知,中国的饮食文化具有悠久的历史。人们采用肉、蔬菜、豆制品等能做出各种美味食品,但往往耗时多。这一点与快节奏的现代社会极不相符。如今我们有了许多不同的选择:除传统家常菜外,还有营养保健配餐和方便可口的快餐食品。由于午休
随机试题
某医院接诊交通事故致昏迷的患者,需要对其行紧急手术救治,但无法获得患者或代理人的同意,此时医务人员的最佳做法是
扩张型心肌病的超声心电图特征有哪些?
税收是一种(),是国家取得财政收入的主要形式。
甲企业与乙银行签订一借款合同。合同约定:甲企业向乙银行借款500万元,借款期限自2009年8月1日至2011年7月31日,以及利息支付等事项。张某在借款合同保证人一栏签字。甲企业将其现有的以及将有的生产设备、原材料、半成品、产品一并抵押给乙银行,双方签订了
普通高中美术课程的每一模块中,美术鉴赏的内容应不少于该模块学习总课时的()。
在Excel软件中,如下图所示,输入的身份证号不能正确显示,为避免此类错误,可在输入前()。
【背景材料及试题】有一家专门负责上百个广告牌的公司,决定6月份要在城市商业区挂一个公益广告牌,现有五个广告牌可供决策。考生抽签决定自己所选的广告牌,并分别推荐自己所抽中的广告牌,进行讨论后确定最终的选择。1.环境保护方面的广告牌。
售货员:顾客:销售
数据更新包括插入数据、()和删除数据3条语句。
After10hoursatthewheelofthecar,hebegantofeelthe______.
最新回复
(
0
)