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  3. In the Second World War a "blockbuster" was a bomb that could eliminate whole streets. Today it is the kind of hit creation that

In the Second World War a "blockbuster" was a bomb that could eliminate whole streets. Today it is the kind of hit creation that

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问题     In the Second World War a "blockbuster" was a bomb that could eliminate whole streets. Today it is the kind of hit creation that every media executive prays for. Popular films, books, music albums and sports teams that bring in huge audiences—and vast profits—can determine whether a year is profitable or loss-making, and break a boss’s career.
    The entertainment industry’s search for the golden release is the focus of "Blockbusters" by Anita Elberse, a professor of business administration at Harvard Business School. Conventional corporate wisdom maintains that spreading resources across many smaller properties is sounder than pushing money into a few big, concentrated bets. Ms Elberse uses case studies from the film, television, music and sporting worlds to argue that, counterintuitively, "the idea of smaller bets being ’safer’ is a myth." Nurturing a few choice works and helps firms create superstars and super products, and is the key to far higher profits. Ms Elberse cites Grand Central Publishing as one example: the top 10% of its titles account for 64% of the publisher’s costs, but 126% of its profits.
The thesis that popular products earn more money might seem as obvious as the plot of the latest Hollywood film you saw. But it is not what business experts predicted would happen. In 2006 Chris Anderson, the editor of Wired and a former journalist at The Economist, wrote "The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business is Selling Less of More", in which he argued that the internet would change the demand curve for entertainment products. With unlimited "shelf" space available online and more refined search algorithms to direct people to songs and books they might be interested in, niche products would attract more attention and a greater share of spending.
    Ms Elberse originally disagreed on Mr. Anderson’s work in a 2008 article for the Harvard Business Review, which is the basis for her book. The tail has become longer, but the internet has helped bestsellers become even bigger, because people follow the recommendations of friends and casual consumers choose known quantities. In 2011 just 102 of the 8m digital musical tracks sold generated nearly a sixth of all sales. Blockbusters tend to be self-reinforcing, because firms spend more to promote products they think stand a better chance of becoming popular.
What can be inferred from the last paragraph?
选项 A、Ms Elberse didn’t agree on Mr. Anderson’s work.
B、Ms Elberse changed her opinion on Mr. Anderson’s work.
C、People follow friends’ advice in that bestsellers become bigger.
D、More investment in promotion increased sales dramatically.
答案B
解析 最后一段第一句“Ms Elberse originally disagreed on Mr. Anderson’s work in a 2008 article for the Harvard Business Review, which is the basis for her book”，即“埃尔伯斯起初不同意2008年安德森在《哈佛商业评论》(她写作的依据)上发表的一篇文章的观点”，起初不同意，暗示后来改变了想法，因此选项A错误，而选项B符合其意。选项C的“in that”表示“因为”，该选项的因果关系是对最后一段中“bestsellers become even bigger，because people follow the recommendations of friends”的颠倒理解。选项D是对最后一句中“firms spend more to promote products they think stand a better chance of becoming popular”的错误推论，该句意思是“企业会投人更多钱推销他们认为更有可能受欢迎的产品”，并不代表“更多推销方面的投资就会大大增加销售”，因为很多销售活动都可能是无效的。
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