首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
外语
Not so long ago, prediction markets (市场预测) were being considered as a fantastic new way to forecast everything from the completi
Not so long ago, prediction markets (市场预测) were being considered as a fantastic new way to forecast everything from the completi
admin
2013-05-04
46
问题
Not so long ago, prediction markets (市场预测) were being considered as a fantastic new way to forecast everything from the completion date of a vital project to a firm’s annual sales. But although they have spread beyond early-adopting companies in the technology industry, they have still not become mainstream management tools. Even crazy advocates admit much remains to be done to convince doubtful managers of their value. "It’s still a pretty blessing business, " says Leslie Fine of CrowdCast, one of the firms that provide trading platforms for companies keen to pool the collective wisdom of their employees.
Prediction markets work by giving people virtual trading accounts that allow them to buy and sell "shares" that correspond to a particular outcome. Shares in an outcome that is considered more likely to occur then trade at a higher price than those that represent a less likely outcome. This provides a way to approach the tacit (默许的) knowledge that exists in companies, especially ones that have many different divisions or offices.
Koch Industries, an American company in a range of businesses including chemicals, fertilizers and commodity trading, has been running prediction markets for the past nine months involving about 200 of its staff from different areas. The group, which has revenues of some $100 billion, has launched contracts on, among other things, the future prices of raw materials used in its chemicals division and the likelihood of bank nationalizations. Koch says the results so far have been pretty accurate compared to actual outcomes, but stresses that markets are complementary to other forecasting techniques, not a substitute for them.
A big obstacle facing managers using prediction markets is getting enough people to keep trading after the novelty has worn off. Many firms use gaming-style leader boards to encourage internal competition, or offer modest prizes to the most successful traders. Lloyds TSB, a bank, launched a market in which participants identify the best new ideas by trading in a currency called Bank Beanz, which can then be exchanged for cash--a scheme the bank’s head of innovation calls "an exceptional motivator".
Another reason prediction markets failed is that employees cannot see how the results are used, so they lose interest. Wells Fargo, a big bank that has been running internal markets for over a year to identify ways to improve service to some corporate customers, says its most effective tests took place in areas where managers could do something with their findings, making staff feel that trading was worthwhile.
Bosses may also be wary of relying on the judgments of non-experts. Yet many pilot projects run so far have shown that junior staff can often be surprisingly good forecasters. Perhaps the best way to find out when prediction markets will finally take off is to ask your employees--using a prediction market.
What does the author tell us about the prediction market in the passage?
选项
A、It now has become a major management way for most companies.
B、The advocates are too optimistic about prediction market.
C、It is a way to know firms’ own covert knowledge.
D、It works by giving traders an actual trading accounts.
答案
C
解析
细节题。由定位句可以看出,市场预测被看作预测万物最理想的新途径。其中第二段第三句提到 This provides a way to approach the tacit knowledge that exists in companies,可知市场预测为了解公司的隐性知识提供了新方法,C符合题意。
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/XDB7777K
0
大学英语六级
相关试题推荐
TheShyArchitect:RatanTataCastingaboutforsomeonetorunabigfamilyfirmwhenasuccessfultyrantisduetoretirei
ResearchersattheUniversityofCalifornia-Berkeleyarechallengingourlong-heldbeliefthathumansarehard-wiredtobeselfi
A、Checktheman’spackage.B、Sendthemanatrackingnumber.C、Tellthemantocallbacklater.D、Asksomeoneelseaboutthepac
Whathehadexperiencedinthepast______(加强了他追求自由和幸福的决心).
A、After-saleservice.B、Opinionspostedonline.C、Lowerprices.D、Reliabledelivery.B文中Nielsen说到,消费者尤其在购买化妆品、汽车、软件和食品的时候,很看重评论。
A、Hewantshismother’sopinionaboutAdidasshoes.B、Heiseasilyfooledbyads.C、Hedidn’tplaymuchsportbefore.D、Hemakes
A、Fatheranddaughter.B、Friends.C、Bossandsecretary.D、Officialandreporter.D推理判断题。女士首先称呼男士为Councilor(议员,理事),接着向男士提出了一个关于城市
FollowingNature’sSignpostsFormany,"navigation"hascometomeantheuseofnavigationalinstrumentsandmaps.However,
Theprisonerhasbeen______(被剥夺了许多普通公民应有的权利).
随机试题
川贝与浙贝的主要区别是
小儿腹平片X线平片显示阑尾结石是
承包人擅自变更设计发生的费用和由此导致发包人的直接损失,应由()承担。
在教学计划和教学大纲之外,利用课余时间,对学生实施的各种有目的、有计划、有组织的教育活动是()
根据生产要素在各产业中的相对密集度,可以将产业划分为不同类型。下列对应错误的是()。
Lateralthinking(迂回思维),firstdescribedbyEdwarddeBonein1967,isjustafewyearsolderthanEdward’sson.Youmightimagi
KarlVonLinne(orLinnaeus,asheiswidelyknown)wasaSwedishbiologistwhodevisedthesystemofLatinisedscientificnames
Economistsusedtothinkwealthcamefromacombinationofman-maderesources(roads,factories,telephonesystems),humanresour
我们每个人对“禁烟”这个词都有自己的【C12】______,有些人认为这是一些大型的烟草厂应该承担的责任,有些人认为这是环保部门应该做的事情。其实,【C13】______!近年来一直在提倡“禁烟”,但是要取得突破,还需要大众的认知及共同努力。例如
A、Atacigarettestore.B、Atabusstation.C、Atagasstation.D、AtAuntMary’s.CM:Pleasebuytwopacketsofcigarettesform
最新回复
(
0
)