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  3. Job worries helped push consumer confidence down in September for the second consecutive month. The Consumer Confidence Index fe

Job worries helped push consumer confidence down in September for the second consecutive month. The Consumer Confidence Index fe

admin2010-05-14  57
问题    Job worries helped push consumer confidence down in September for the second consecutive month. The Consumer Confidence Index fell 1.9 points to 96.8 from a revised reading of 98.7 in August, according to the Conference Board. Analysts had expected a reading of 99.5.
   "The recent declines in the index were caused primarily by a deterioration in consumers’ assessment of employment conditions," said Lynn Franco, director of the organization’s Consumer Research Center. "Soft labor market conditions have clearly taken a toll on consumer confidence. Still, expectations for the next six months are virtually unchanged from August." Economists closely track consumer confidence because consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of all U. S. economic activity.
   Consumer confidence, which was as high as 144.7 in May 2000 when the job market was flourishing, has been volatile since the economy emerged from recession in November 2001. It reached its lowest point in March 2003 at 64.4 with the U. S. -led invasion of Iraq, but then experienced a gradual but inconsistent improvement as the job market recovery has remained tenuous, according to Franco. It was 105. 7 in July. The Present Situation Index, one component of the consumer confidence reading, fell to 95.5 from 100.7 in August. The Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ outlook over the next six months, edged up to 97.6 compared with 97.3 last month.
   The Conference Board’s indexes were derived from responses received to a survey mailed to 5,000 households in a consumer research panel. The figures released Tuesday include responses from at least 2,500 households. The figures for August were revised after all the surveys were tabulated.
   Consumers’ assessment of overall present-day conditions was mixed. Those saying that business conditions are "good" edged up to 23.6 percent from 23 percent. Those claiming conditions are "bad" remained flat at 20.3 percent, compared to 20.2 percent last month. the job situation was less favorable than in August. Consumers saying jobs are "plentiful" declined to 16.8 percent from 18.4 percent. Those claiming jobs are "hard to get" rose to 28.3 percent from 26.0 percent in August.
   Consumers’ outlook for the next six months is relatively unchanged. Those anticipating conditions to worsen in the next six months increased to 9.4 percent from 8.8 percent. But those expecting business conditions to improve increased to 21.4 percent from 20.2 percent last month.
   The employment outlook for the next six months was also mixed. Consumers expecting fewer jobs increased to 16.1 percent from 15.1 percent, while those anticipating more jobs to become available rose to 17.7 percent from 16.3 percent. The proportion of consumers expecting their incomes to improve in the months ahead edged up to 20.0 percent from 19.7 percent last month.
We can infer from the passage that ______.
选项 A、analysts can often make precise predictions
B、the Conference Board is a research organization
C、the invasion of Iraq enhanced employment conditions
D、a decline in consumer confidence shook the stock market
答案B
解析 从第二段提到的…the organization’s Consumer Research Center和第四段提到的The Conference Board’s indexes were derived from responses received to a survey mailed to 5,000 households in a consumer research panel等可以推断出Conference Board应该是研究机构。而其他选项无从推断。
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