中国经济上半年总体上保持了持续、快速、健康的发展态势。从宏观经济来说不能轻言“过热”。严格地讲,过热不是个经济词汇。过热相当于人体的发烧,是一种病态。把这个不严谨的词汇放在经济生活中容易引起误解。比如说过热和高速度是什么关系?高速度能不能等于过热?

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问题 中国经济上半年总体上保持了持续、快速、健康的发展态势。从宏观经济来说不能轻言“过热”。严格地讲,过热不是个经济词汇。过热相当于人体的发烧,是一种病态。把这个不严谨的词汇放在经济生活中容易引起误解。比如说过热和高速度是什么关系?高速度能不能等于过热?
    当然,在思想上时刻警惕过热是必要的,但是全社会都来炒作“过热”会有不好的效果。比如,如果中国经济现在过热,下一步肯定会出现通货膨胀,可能会“踩刹车”,外资就会对自己的投资重新进行论证。国内企业家也会这样想。过热炒作太多的话会影响一非专家型的人。就像医生对病人说疾病的时候要科学、严谨,否则会给病人带来很大的心理负担。心理因素在社会经济生活中越来越重要,舆论引导民众心理要有正确的方向。

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答案Generally speaking, China’ s economy has kept a continuous, rapid and healthy development in the first half of the year. Viewed from macroeconomics, it is wrong to allege there is an " overheat" in the economy. Strictly speaking, "overheat" which refers to a kind of sickness corresponding to "fever" in the human body is not an economic term. The use of such an imprecise term in e-conomic life may cause misunderstandings. For example, how would you explain the relationship between overheat and high speed, or does the latter mean the former? Of course it is necessary to keep a vigilance all the time, however, it won’ t bring any conclusive result if the whole society talks at length about the "overheat" of the economy. For instance, if China’ s economy was really overheated at present, inflation would surely follow, then the brake must be applied and as a result foreign investors would re-examine their investments in China, and then domestic entrepreneurs would follow suit. Too much talk about "overheat" would have an adverse effect on some non-expert personnel. A scientific and careful attitude is needed in such talks, just like the way a doctor tells his patient what disease he is suffering from, lest it should become some psychological burden on the part of the patient. Psychological factors are becoming more and more important in social economic life and a correct orientation is needed on the part of the media in order to lead the public opinion in the right direction.

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