首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
外语
Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus become part of the greatest story ever told. Man
Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus become part of the greatest story ever told. Man
admin
2010-02-17
76
问题
Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus become part of the greatest story ever told. Many things have changed in the intervening years. The hotel industry worries more about overbuilding than overcrowding, and if they had to meet an unexpected influx, few inns would have a manager to accommodate the weary guests. Now it is the census taker that does the traveling in the fond hope that a highly mobile population will stay long enough to get a good sampling. Methods of gathering, recording, and evaluating information have presumably been improved a great deal. And where then it was the modest purpose of Rome to obtain a simple head count as an adequate basis for levying taxes, now batteries of complicated statistical series furnished by governmental agencies and private organizations are eagerly scanned and interpreted by sages and seers to get a clue to future events. The Bible does not tell us how the Roman census takers made out, and as regards our more immediate concern, the reliability of present day economic forecasting, there are considerable differences of opinion. They were aired at the celebration of the 125th anniversary of the American Statistical Association. There was the thought that business forecasting might Well be on its way from an art to a science, and some speakers talked about newfangled computers and high-falutin mathematical system in terms of excitement and endearment which we, at least in our younger years when these things mattered, would have associated more readily with the description of a fair maiden. But others pointed to the deplorable record of highly esteemed forecasts and forecasters with a batting average below that of the Mets, and the President-elect of the Association cautioned that "high powered statistical methods are usually in order where the facts are crude and inadequate, the exact contrary of what crude and inadequate statisticians assume." We left his birthday party somewhere between hope and despair and with the conviction, not really newly acquired, that proper statistical methods applied to ascertainable facts have their merits in economic forecasting as long as neither forecaster nor public is deluded into mistaking the delineation of probabilities and trends for a prediction of certainties of mathematical exactitude.
The "greatest story ever told" referred to in the passage is the story of ______.
选项
A、Christmas
B、The Mets
C、Moses
D、Roman Census Takers
答案
A
解析
推理题。圣经中的最伟大的一个故事即圣诞节,指基督的诞生。
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/ignK777K
0
专业英语四级
相关试题推荐
PassageThreeWhatrhetoricaldeviceisusedin"blue-collar,working-classvoters"inPara.5?
PassageThreeAccordingtotheauthor,whichstrategymaynotworkwellforbigcompanies?
PassageThreeAccordingtotheauthor,whoisallowedbyoursocietytohavewhateverpersonalitytheylike?
PassageThreeWhatistheauthor’spurposeofquotingthewordsofFranThorns?
Today’scollegestudentsaremorenarcissisticandself-centeredthantheirpredecessors,accordingtoacomprehensivenewstud
Today’scollegestudentsaremorenarcissisticandself-centeredthantheirpredecessors,accordingtoacomprehensivenewstud
Thebusinessofsocialwalkingissettingoffintoalargelyunexploredareaofnavigation.Acommunity-basedgroupinthewood
Thebusinessofsocialwalkingissettingoffintoalargelyunexploredareaofnavigation.Acommunity-basedgroupinthewood
Tomanyweb-buildingspiders,mostof【C1】______arenearlyblind,thewebistheiressentialwindow【C2】______theworld.,their
随机试题
枳实可治疗除哪项外的病证
什么是电力晶体管(GTR)?它有何特点?
梅尼埃病发作期,病人除有眩晕、耳鸣、耳闷胀感等症状外,常伴有短暂性意识障碍。()
对感觉障碍的患者,护理措施中不妥的是
性质稳定,常以其重量作为栓模容纳重量(如1g或2g重)的是
小儿出生后多久之前从母体自带对于流行性腮腺炎的免疫
下列哪些机构属于房地产中介服务机构?(2011年卷一72题)
甲仓库为乙单位保管500吨水泥,双方约定保管费用为1000元,后乙未能按约定支付保管费用,则甲可以( )。
按投资主体的性质分类,下列哪一项不属于股票的分类?()
某研究者在某省档案馆查阅到了日本在中国东北的殖民教育的档案资料。这些资料属于
最新回复
(
0
)