首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
考研
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, an
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, an
admin
2011-10-20
58
问题
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, and their application requires an elaborate (2)_____ of cause and effect. Others are relatively simple, (3)_____ most developments in the economy to one or two basic factors. Many economists, for example, believe that changes in the supply of money (4)_____ the rate of growth of general business activity. Others (5)_____ a central role to investment in new facilities—housing, industrial plants, highways, and so forth. In the United States, where consumers (6)_____ such a large share of economic activity, some economy believe that consumer decisions to (7)_____ or save provide the principal (8)_____ to the future course of the entire economy. Obviously the theory that a forecaster applies is of (9)_____ importance to the forecasting process; it (10)_____ his line of investigation, the statistics he will regard as most important, and many of the techniques he will apply.
Although economic theory may determine the general (11)_____ of a forecast, judgment also often plays an important role. A forecaster may decide that the circumstances of the moment are (12)_____ and that a forecast produced by the (13)_____ statistical methods should be modified to take account of special current circumstances. This is particularly necessary when some event outside the Usual run of economic activity has an a (14)_____ economic effect. For example, forecasts of 1987 economic activity in the United States were more accurate when the analyst correctly foresaw that the exchange value of the dollar would (15)_____ sharply during the year that consumer spending would slacken, and that (16)_____ rates would rise only moderately. None of these conclusions followed (17)_____ purely economic analysis; they all required judgment as to future decisions (18)_____, an economist may decide to adjust an economic forecast that was made by traditional methods to take account of other unique (19)_____; he may, for example, decide that consumers will (20)_____ their spending patterns because of special circumstances such as rising price of imports or fear of threatened shortages.
选项
A、outline
B、shape
C、profile
D、diagram
答案
A
解析
考查上下文语义衔接和近义词辨析。根据上一段所讲述的经济理论的重要作用,可以推测这一句话的意思是经济学概论会决定预报的要点,因此只有outline"要点,摘要"符合。shape是"外形,形状,形式";profile是"外形,轮廓";diagram是"图表,图解"。
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/1Wp4777K
0
考研英语一
相关试题推荐
Theoriginofcontinentalnucleihaslongbeenapuzzle.Theoriesadvancedsofarhavegenerallyfailedtoexplainthefirstste
(46)Free-marketeconomyisaneconomicsysteminwhichindividuals,ratherthangovernment,makethemajorityofdecisionsregar
Theauthorconsidersanewtheorythatcoherentlyrelatesdiversephenomenatooneanothertobethe______Theauthorregardst
WhatdoestheexampleoftheEnglishschoolboyinparagraph1indicate?______Whichofthefollowingcanbeanappropriatehead
______atinthisway,thepresenteconomicsituationdoesn’tseemsogloomy.
You’veseenanadvertisementinthe"CampusNews"offeringascholarshipinEnglishliteraturebyaprivatefoundation.Writet
Thepublicchargedtheminister______lyingabouttheeconomy,whichisnowinarecession.
Inthelecture______hewilltellussomethingaboutmodrnEnglishusage.
Highoilpriceshavenotyetproducedaneconomicshockamongconsumingcountries,butfurtherrises,especiallysharp(1)_____,
随机试题
简述项目管理的核心内容。
公元前6世纪至公元前1世纪罗马贵族共和国时期,实际上最高的权力机关是()
人体作旋转运动时引起眼球运动称为
A.部分性前置胎盘B.轻型胎盘早剥C.重型胎盘早剥D.完全性前置胎盘E.胎盘植入子宫颈内口全部由胎盘组织覆盖,诊断为
病区护理管理的核心是()
可靠、无创判断胎儿成熟度的方法是
当事人进行民事诉讼,应当按照规定交纳案件受理费。财产案件交纳案件受理费,其他诉讼费用可免。()
“昭君出塞”和亲的故事发生在()时期。
烟斗和雪茄比香烟对健康的危害明显要小。吸香烟的人如果戒烟的话,则可以免除对健康的危害,但是如果改吸烟斗或雪茄的话,则对健康的危害和以前差不多。如果上述断定为真,那么以下哪项最不可能真?
A、Right.B、Wrong.C、Doesn’tsay.A第一段第二句话告诉我们,他去附近的城市“dosomeshopping”,这个英语短语的意思就是“购物”。
最新回复
(
0
)