首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
外语
Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus become part of the greatest story ever told. Man
Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus become part of the greatest story ever told. Man
admin
2010-03-19
63
问题
Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus become part of the greatest story ever told. Many things have changed in the intervening years. The hotel industry worries more about overbuilding than overcrowding, and if they had to meet an unexpected influx, few inns would have a manager to accommodate the weary guests. Now it is the census taker that does the traveling in the fond hope that a highly mobile population will stay long enough to get a good sampling. Methods of gathering, recording, and evaluating information have presumably been improved a great deal. And where then it was the modest purpose of Rome to obtain a simple head count as an adequate basis for levying taxes, now batteries of complicated statistical series furnished by governmental agencies and private organizations are eagerly scanned and interpreted by sages and seers to get a clue to future events. The Bible does not tell us how the Roman census takers made out, and as regards our more immediate concern, the reliability of present day economic forecasting, there are considerable differences of opinion. They were aired at the celebration of tile 125th anniversary of the American Statistical Association. There was the thought that business forecasting might well be on its way from an art to a science, and some speakers talked about newfangled computers and high-falutin mathematical system in terms of excitement and endearment which we, at least in our younger years when these things mattered, would have associated more readily with the description of a fair maiden. But others pointed to the deplorable record of highly esteemed forecasts and forecasters with a batting average below that of the Mets, and the President-elect of the Association cautioned that "high powered statistical methods are usually in order where the facts are crude and inadequate, the exact contrary of what crude and inadequate statisticians assume." We left his birthday party somewhere between hope and despair and with the conviction, not really newly acquired, that proper statistical methods applied to ascertainable facts have their merits in economic forecasting as long as neither forecaster nor public is deluded into mistaking the delineation of probabilities and trends for a prediction of certainties of mathematical exactitude.
The American Statistical Association ______.
选项
A、is converting statistical study from an art to a science
B、has an excellent record in business forecasting
C、is neither hopeful nor pessimistic
D、speaks with mathematical exactitude
答案
A
解析
细节归纳题,这是从第六句开始讲的一种观点。圣经并没有告诉我们罗马的人口调查员是怎么调查统计的。至于我们当前更加关心的问题:目前经济预测的可靠性,意见分歧很大。在美国统计协会125周年庆祝活动上,人们大肆宣扬这些不同观点。有一种说法是经济预测可能正从文科转向理科发展。有些人兴高采烈地大谈新型计算机和非常高级的数学系统。”作者虽然没有明说,明眼人一看便知,艺术向科学的转变正是美国统计协会在把统计学从文科转向理科。所以A对。
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/Bi9K777K
0
专业英语四级
相关试题推荐
TherearemorethanfortyuniversitiesinBritain--nearlytwiceasmanyasin1960.Duringthe1960seightcompletelynewones
Insurancecompaniesprovideaservicetothecommunitybyprotectingitagainstexpectedandunexpecteddisasters.Beforeanins
Insurancecompaniesprovideaservicetothecommunitybyprotectingitagainstexpectedandunexpecteddisasters.Beforeanins
Thepolicehasdecidedtoholdafull______tofindoutthecauseofthebigfire.
1 The"standardofliving"ofanycountrymeanstheaverageperson’sshareofthegoodsserviceswhichthecountryproduces.A
1 Traditionally,thewomanhasheldalowpositioninmarriagepartnerships.Whileherhusbandwenthiswayshehadtowash,st
Onewaytoconservewateristo______dishes,insteadofrinsingthem,beforeloadingthedishwasher.
Thisperformanceisabigstride,______,towardsadaptingthewesternmindtothetraditionalChineseopera.
Asafetyanalysis______thetargetasapotentialdanger.Unfortunately,itwasneverdone.
ThemanwenttoSeychellesbecausehe______.
随机试题
孕33周早产儿,生后7小时出现呼吸困难,进行性加重,呼气时呻吟,时而发生呼吸暂停,诊断为新生儿肺透明膜病,最紧急的抢救措施是()
患者男,45岁,鼻部撞伤后,有血性液体自鼻孔流出,手帕或纸上的痕迹中心呈粉红色而周边色淡、清澈,色淡,流出的液体干燥后不呈痂状者,考虑为脑脊液鼻漏。关于此病诊断错误的是
因男性尿道的耻骨前弯是由阴茎垂于耻骨联合下方形成,故上提阴茎可取消该弯曲。()
以下属于Partnering模式主要特征的是()。
机构检验的出口商品的发货人,应当在对外贸易合同规定的地点和期限内,向商检机构报验。( )
在我国,外籍个人取得下列所得时,可暂免征收个人所得税的有()。
A公司是一家大型设备生产、销售公司,其主要经营大型设备的销售、安装及后期维护业务。A公司2020年发生了如下经济业务:资料一:2020年2月1日,A公司与甲公司签订一项合同,向甲公司销售一台X大型设备,合同价款为20万元,该设备的成本为13万元,甲公司在
BD光盘即蓝光盘,利用波长较短的蓝色激光读取和写入数据,并因此而得名。而传统DVD需要光头发出红色激光来读取或写入数据。通常来说,激光波长越短,能够在单位面积上记录或读取的信息就更多。因此,蓝光极大地提高了光盘的存储容量,对于光储存产品来说,蓝光提供了一个
Sinceitsconception,theEuropeanUnionhasbeenahavenforthoseseekingrefugeofwar,persecutionandpovertyinother【M1】_
Ourriskofcancerrisesdramaticallyasweage.Soitmakessensethattheelderlyshouldberoutinelyscreenedfornewtumors—
最新回复
(
0
)