首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
考研
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, an
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, an
admin
2011-10-20
42
问题
Formal economic forecasting is usually based on a (1)_____ theory as to how the economy works. Some theories are complicated, and their application requires an elaborate (2)_____ of cause and effect. Others are relatively simple, (3)_____ most developments in the economy to one or two basic factors. Many economists, for example, believe that changes in the supply of money (4)_____ the rate of growth of general business activity. Others (5)_____ a central role to investment in new facilities—housing, industrial plants, highways, and so forth. In the United States, where consumers (6)_____ such a large share of economic activity, some economy believe that consumer decisions to (7)_____ or save provide the principal (8)_____ to the future course of the entire economy. Obviously the theory that a forecaster applies is of (9)_____ importance to the forecasting process; it (10)_____ his line of investigation, the statistics he will regard as most important, and many of the techniques he will apply.
Although economic theory may determine the general (11)_____ of a forecast, judgment also often plays an important role. A forecaster may decide that the circumstances of the moment are (12)_____ and that a forecast produced by the (13)_____ statistical methods should be modified to take account of special current circumstances. This is particularly necessary when some event outside the Usual run of economic activity has an a (14)_____ economic effect. For example, forecasts of 1987 economic activity in the United States were more accurate when the analyst correctly foresaw that the exchange value of the dollar would (15)_____ sharply during the year that consumer spending would slacken, and that (16)_____ rates would rise only moderately. None of these conclusions followed (17)_____ purely economic analysis; they all required judgment as to future decisions (18)_____, an economist may decide to adjust an economic forecast that was made by traditional methods to take account of other unique (19)_____; he may, for example, decide that consumers will (20)_____ their spending patterns because of special circumstances such as rising price of imports or fear of threatened shortages.
选项
A、instructs
B、orders
C、affects
D、dictates
答案
D
解析
考查上下文语义衔接。这一句话中的it指前面的theory,上一句已经说了theory的重要性,这一句是对上一句的具体解释,讲到理论对调查、数据和技术的决定作用,因此选dictate"指示、控制"的意思。instruct"命令,指示"、order"命令",两者都应以人作主语,不能是此处的theory;affect是"影响"的意思,注意后面的宾语还有statistics与techniques,理论影响数据与技术显然程度不够。
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/mWp4777K
0
考研英语一
相关试题推荐
(46)Free-marketeconomyisaneconomicsysteminwhichindividuals,ratherthangovernment,makethemajorityofdecisionsregar
Theauthorconsidersanewtheorythatcoherentlyrelatesdiversephenomenatooneanothertobethe______Whichofthefollowi
Theauthorconsidersanewtheorythatcoherentlyrelatesdiversephenomenatooneanothertobethe______Theauthorimpliest
Theauthorconsidersanewtheorythatcoherentlyrelatesdiversephenomenatooneanothertobethe______Thepassagesupplies
WhatdoestheexampleoftheEnglishschoolboyinparagraph1indicate?______Whichofthefollowingcanbeanappropriatehead
AnEnglishschoolboywouldonlyaskhisfriend:"Wassatime,then?"Tohisteacherhewouldbemuchmorelikelytospeakinamo
Highoilpriceshavenotyetproducedaneconomicshockamongconsumingcountries,butfurtherrises,especiallysharp(1)_____,
Highoilpriceshavenotyetproducedaneconomicshockamongconsumingcountries,butfurtherrises,especiallysharp(1)_____,
Highoilpriceshavenotyetproducedaneconomicshockamongconsumingcountries,butfurtherrises,especiallysharp(1)_____,
Writeanessaybasedontheoutlinebelow:1.主题句:人们对大学合并持有不同的态度。2.发展句:A)一些人认为大学合并是建设世界一流大学的重要举措。B)另一些人认为大学合并有一些潜在的问题,如管
随机试题
Childrennormallyfeelalotof______abouttheirfirstdayatschool.
在借贷记账法下,下列选项中,()表明会计科目借方登记内容。
某公司开业时的实际投入资本为100万元,一年后全部资产为120万元,全部负债为30万元。一年后企业的所有者权益为()万元。
下列项目应缴纳营业税的有()。
某公司2014年购进一处房产,2015年5月1日用于投资联营(收取固定收入,不承担联营风险),投资期3年,当年取得固定收入200万元。该房产原值5000万元,当地政府规定的房产原值减除幅度为30%,该公司2015年应缴纳的房产税为()。
甲公司为上市公司,2015年有关资料如下:(1)甲公司2015年初的递延所得税资产借方余额为190万元,递延所得税负债贷方余额为10万元,具体构成项目如下:(2)甲公司2015年度实现的利润总额为1610万元。2015年度相关交易或事项资料如下:①
政府宏观经济调控的基本原则是()。
下列关于社区文化说法正确的是()。
毛泽东说:“没有什么事物是不包含矛盾的,没有矛盾就没有世界。”德国的杜林则认为“在事物中没有任何矛盾”。这两种观点分歧的实质是
设f(x)在[0,π]上连续,且证明f(x)在(0,π)内至少有两个零点。
最新回复
(
0
)