What if someone came up with a new technology product that was hailed as a breakthrough with the potential to rival the smartpho

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问题     What if someone came up with a new technology product that was hailed as a breakthrough with the potential to rival the smartphone, but then didn’t make it available to 85 per cent of possible buyers? That is what Apple is about to do with the launch of its Watch. It will start collecting orders online from Friday and release the device in nine countries in two weeks.
    For something that carries with it the best hope yet for a new "wearables" computing platform, the Watch risks being hamstrung. Only a subset of Apple’ s existing customers will end up owning one. That is because it is yoked to the iPhone(which is used by only one in six smartphone owners): Watch gets its connectivity from the iPhone, and the only apps that work on it are extensions of the ones that are carried by Apple’ s App Store for use on its own mobile devices.
    Platforms, by contrast, benefit from network effects as other tech companies add complementary products and services, such as apps, which in turn draw more users. Jobs finally bowed to the power of the platform idea with the App Store for Apple’ s mobile devices. But, according to US management professors David Yoffle and Michael Cusumano, the mix he exhibited is still evident at Apple and could result in the tech group squandering a lead in the post-smartphone computing platform.
    The picture is not black and white. It is probably better to think of the Watch as an extension of an existing tech platform, rather than a product with no platform aspirations at all. It will, after all, run stripped-down apps from third parties. As such, it represents a first, cautious play in a new market where there are likely to be rethinks along the way.
    The first iterations of these products didn’t set the world on fire. Apple sold fewer than 1 million iPods in the first year and only about 6 million iPhones. Watch 1.0 should at least do much better than that. Most analysts are predicting sales of 20-40 million in the first year. But this could still represent a missed opportunity if Apple cedes a dominant market share in wearables to Google’ s Android, as. it has in smartphones.
It can be concluded from the last paragraph that______.

选项 A、Apple Watch can’ t attract many people
B、Apple Watch won’t sell well
C、it’s hard for analysts to estimate the sales volume of Apple Watch
D、Apple should learn a lesson from what it has done in smartphone market

答案D

解析 根据题干关键词定位到文章最后一段。D项“苹果应该吸取它在智能手机市场的教训”可由文章最后一句But this could still represent a missed opportunity if Apple cedes adominant market share in wearables to Google’s Android,as it has in smartphones.推出,故D项为正确答案。A项“苹果Watch不能吸引很多人”属于过度推断。B项“苹果Watch的销量不太好”,C项“分析师难以预测苹果Watch的销量”,均与原文不符。
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