Managers need to watch political risk in developed markets as well as emerging ones. Multinational companies have always paid ca

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问题    Managers need to watch political risk in developed markets as well as emerging ones. Multinational companies have always paid careful attention to political risk in the developing world. No surprise there, given the risk premium attached to investment in emerging markets. Western businesses turn for advice to consultancies that keep a watchful eye on alarming developments in far-flung places. There is booming demand for political-risk insurance that can protect companies against shocks, be they coups in Turkey, sanctions against Russia or a debt default by Venezuela. Now, however, firms need to pay the same attention to political risk in the developed world. Businesses now face years of uncertainty as politicians thrash out the details of the Anglo-continental divorce settlement.

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答案 如同在新兴市场一样,在成熟市场,经营者也需要关注政治风险。跨国企业向来密切关注发展中国家市场的政治风险。考虑到新兴市场投资附带的风险溢价,这不足为奇。而对于偏远地区令人担忧的经济发展形势,西方企业会向对此密切关注的咨询公司寻求建议。企业对政治风险保险的需求剧增,不论是土耳其政变、对俄罗斯的制裁,还是委内瑞拉的债务违约等,它都能保护企业免受影响。然而,如今企业也须给予成熟市场的政治风险同样的重视。在政客商讨“英国与欧盟的离婚协议”,即英国脱欧协议的细节时,许多企业将因此面临多年的市场不确定性。

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