The Stoics, a philosophical school of the ancient Greek and Roman world, developed a technique called "the premeditation of evil

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问题 The Stoics, a philosophical school of the ancient Greek and Roman world, developed a technique called "the premeditation of evils" which involved deliberately envisaging worst-case scenarios. One benefit of this approach, they argued, is that one replaces limitless panic and fear—which is how humans often respond to seemingly insuperable problems—with a sober analysis of exactly how badly things could go wrong. Fred Guterl’s The Fate of Our Species is precisely such a premeditation of evils and, specifically, monsters of our own creation—the potential disasters consequent upon the ways in which, through ignorance and lack of careful thought, we organize the world in ways that present existential risks.

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答案 斯多葛学派是古希腊和古罗马的一个哲学派别,他们提出了“预想不幸”,也就是说要刻意直面最糟糕的局面。人们通常对难以克服的问题的反应是感到无限的担惊害怕,而他们认为这个办法的好处就是,面对同样情况,代之以冷静地分析事情可能出现的最坏的情形。弗雷德·古特尔的《物种的命运》正是这样的一个“预想不幸”,具体而言,他认为我们自己创造出来的怪物,由于无知和缺乏审慎思考的行为方式引起的潜在灾难,将会给世界带来现实的风险。

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