首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
考研
"The good news is that no existential catastrophe has happened," declared Nick Bostrom. "Not one. Yet. " Bostrom, director of Ox
"The good news is that no existential catastrophe has happened," declared Nick Bostrom. "Not one. Yet. " Bostrom, director of Ox
admin
2016-10-15
10
问题
"The good news is that no
existential catastrophe
has happened," declared Nick Bostrom. "Not one. Yet. " Bostrom, director of Oxford’s Future of Humanity Institute, opened what he thinks might be the first ever conference to comprehensively consider the gamut of Global Catastrophic Risks.
By existential catastrophes
Bostrom means that humanity has survived extinction so far. However, he quickly pointed out 99. 9 percent of all species are extinct. Bostrom cited the Toba super-eruption 73,000 years ago which may have produced a global winter that reduced the population of human ancestors to fewer than 500 fertile women(though some disagree). Our Neanderthal relatives died out between 33,000 and 24,000 years ago. In Our Final Hour, Lord Martin Rees predicted that there was only a 50 percent chance that our civilization would survive to 2100.
Bostrom justified the broad topic of global catastrophic risks by pointing to common causal links, e. g. , super-volcanoes, asteroid strikes, and nuclear wars all have the potential to produce disastrous global cooling. Catastrophic scenarios also present common methodological, analytical, and cultural challenges. And, argues Bostrom, a wider view of potential catastrophes is necessary for the adoption of proper policies and informed prioritization. To assist in this effort, the conference is launching the eponymous volume, Global Catastrophic Risks.
Bostrom did note that people today are safer from small to medium threats than ever before. As evidence he cites increased life expectancy from 18 years in the Bronze Age to 64 years today(the World Health Organizations thinks it’s 66 years). And he urged the audience not to let future existential risks occlude our view of current disasters, such as 15 million people dying of infectious diseases every year, 3 million from HIV/AIDS, 18 million from cardiovascular diseases, and 8 million per year from cancer. Bostrom did note that, "All of the biggest risks, the existential risks are seen to be anthropogenic, that is, they originate from human beings". The biggest risks include nuclear war, biotech plagues, and nanotechnology arms races. The good news is that the biggest existential risks are probably decades away, which means we have time to analyze them and develop countermeasures.
Tomorrow, the Oxford conference on Global Catastrophic Risks will have more edifying presentations on proposals for recovering from social collapses occasioned by catastrophes: how to rationally consider the end of the world; how to avoid Millennialist cognitive biases; how to insure against catastrophes; how ecological diversity could affect human prospects; and the tragedy of the uncommons.
By saying "existential catastrophe", Bostrom refers to the catastrophe which ______.
选项
A、human species will not survive
B、few people survive if it happens
C、has happened to humans so far
D、results in the ruin of the earth
答案
A
解析
根据第一段中的“The good news is that no existential catastrophe has happened,”和“Byexistential catastrophes Bostrom means that humanity has survived extinction so far”上下文,A应为答案。
转载请注明原文地址:https://kaotiyun.com/show/6HoZ777K
0
考研英语一
相关试题推荐
AlisonPrestonoftheUniversityofTexasatAustin’sCenterforLearningandMemoryexplains:Ashort-termmemory’sconversiont
ArecentcaseinAustraliashowshoweasilyfearcanfrustrateaninformant’sgoodintentions.InDecember,awomanwroteanonym
JonathanSwiftmadeafamousModestProposalin1729thatthebabiesoftheIrishpoorshouldbeeatentopreventthemgrowingu
Newspapersarebecomingmorebalancedbusinesses,withahealthiermixofrevenuesfromreadersandadvertisers.Americanpapers
WhathappenedattheUnitedNations?Howdidthecriticslikethenewplay?Soonafteranevent【C1】______,newspapersar
WhathappenedattheUnitedNations?Howdidthecriticslikethenewplay?Soonafteranevent【C1】______,newspapersar
Formostofhumanhistoryrichpeoplehadthemostleisure.Ontheotherhand,thepoorhavetypicallyworkedpersistently.Hans
Formostofhumanhistoryrichpeoplehadthemostleisure.Ontheotherhand,thepoorhavetypicallyworkedpersistently.Hans
Formostofhumanhistoryrichpeoplehadthemostleisure.Ontheotherhand,thepoorhavetypicallyworkedpersistently.Hans
Science,beingahumanactivity,isnotimmunetofashion.【F1】Forexample,oneofthefirstmathematicianstostudythesubject
随机试题
利用柱坐标计算下列三重积分:x2dxdydz,Ω是由曲面z=2,x2+y2=1与z=0所围成的闭区域;
查体发现患者对别人和自己的话均不理解,发音清晰,语调正常,但错语较多,难以理解,最可能的失语是
A.脑膜脑炎B.肺炎C.心肌炎D.急性肾炎E.关节炎麻疹最常见的并发症是
市场经济是通过()对个人和企业的各种经济活动进行协调,使全社会的经济正常运行。
相对于直接融资来说,间接融资的信誉度较高,风险性相对较小,融资的稳定性较强。()
(1)中国某国有企业(简称中方)与德国某公司(简称德方),拟定在北京设立华德中外合作经营企业。双方共同制定了合作企业的章程,其中包含下列内容:①该合作企业名称为华德有限责任公司;②该合作企业的注册资本为1000万元人民币,其中中方以房屋和场地使用权投资,其
()是构成珍贵传统文化系统中内涵最丰富、最能代表中华民族智慧及其自我觉醒意识的精华部分。
求
Inordertoworkheretheforeignerneedsaworkpermit,whichmustbe【21】forbyhisprospectiveemployer.Theproblemhereist
【51】Iwillavoidgossip,jealousy,andnegativethinking.Mostpeopledon‘tthinkaboutwhattheythinkabout.【52】Today,Iwill
最新回复
(
0
)