Such tightening would probably cause refinancing to slump to about $ 300 billion at annual rates late this year, which would eli

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问题 Such tightening would probably cause refinancing to slump to about $ 300 billion at annual rates late this year, which would eliminate capital gains as a prop for consumer spending. Rising interest rates could also damp the rally likely to occur in the equity market as corporate profits recover. If investment spending fails to revive, the economy’ s annual growth rate could slide back to the 2-3 percent.

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答案这样的紧缩政策也许会引起今年年底再集资水平跌至3亿/年,这将使资本收益在消费性支出中的支柱作用完全失去。利率的提高也将抑制企业利润好转下股票市场的回升。假如投资支出没能复原,整个经济的年增长率将回落至2%-一3%。

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