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From The Tipping Point to Nudge, the rise of pop-social science has been a noticeable feature of the past decade in publishing.
From The Tipping Point to Nudge, the rise of pop-social science has been a noticeable feature of the past decade in publishing.
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2014-06-25
46
问题
From The Tipping Point to Nudge, the rise of pop-social science has been a noticeable feature of the past decade in publishing. Not everyone is impressed. A professor of education who is an expert in policy evaluation lamented the fact that politicians tend to get their facts from popular social science books containing inaccuracies.
I think the professor was right to worry about ministerial exposure to authors such as Malcolm Glad-well and Dan Ariely and even Tim Harford— but not for quite the right reasons. The problem is not that such authors are inaccurate. Gladwell has plenty of critics, but I find him a careful reporter. And I am told Tim Harford is all but infallible.
Yet infallibility is not enough. It’s perfectly possible for an author to do nothing but weave together credible, peer-reviewed research and yet produce a highly partial view of reality. Different pieces of research invariably point in different directions. Dan Ariely’s Predictably Irrational is full of examples of irrational behaviour. My own Logic of Life is full of examples of rational behaviour.
If Ariely describes a rainy day and I describe a sunny one, we are not really contradicting each other. We each offer our spin, but it’s really about whether most people expect sunshine or rain: Dan says that it’s rainier than we tend to think, while I say the sun shines more often than anyone would credit. A serious review of this metaphorical evidence would count up the rainy days and the sunny ones.
For real policy questions, such reviews exist. They are called systemic reviews. They should be the first port of call for anyone wanting to understand what works. But they are not exactly bestsellers in airport bookshops.
Quite apart from the fact that nobody wants to read all the evidence, there is a deep problem with the way evidence is selected throughout academia. Even a studiously impartial literature review will be biased towards published results. Many findings are never published because they just aren’t very intriguing. Alas, boring or disappointing evidence is still evidence. It is dangerous to discard it.
The systemic review tries to track down unpublished research as well as what makes it into the journals. A less careful review will often be biased towards results that are interesting. A peer-reviewed article presents a single result, while a popular social-science book will highlight a series of results that tell a tale. The final selection mechanism is the reader, who will half remember some findings and forget the rest.
Those of us who tell ourselves we are curious about the world are actually swimming in "evidence" that has been filtered again and again in favour of interestingness. It’s a heady and perhaps toxic drink, but we shouldn’t blame popularisers alone for our choice to dive in.
"A sunny day" to "a rainy one" in paragraph 4 metaphorically refers to______.
选项
A、a basically accurate social science field to "a social science field full of inaccuracies"
B、a rationality-oriented society to "a society filled with irrational behaviors"
C、a world cherishing evidence to "a world neglecting evidence"
D、 a policy system based on systemic reviews to "a policy system guided by biased reviews"
答案
B
解析
第三段中指出结果:内容并不矛盾的两部流行社会科学作品《怪诞行为学》和《生活的逻辑》却呈现给读者两个不同的世界——前者呈现的是一个充满非理性行为的世界,后者呈现的却是一个理性的世界。第四段解释原因:两位作者(艾瑞里和本文作者“我”)描述的角度不同:艾瑞里阐释的是“阴雨天(rainy day)”,而我则看到的是“艳阳天(sunny day)”。可见,作者在用sunny day和rainyday分别指自己眼中的“理性世界”和艾瑞里所关注的“生活中的不理性行为”,[B]选项正确。
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0
考研英语一
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